I have been taking courses in Gerontology. I have been very impressed by the prediction of a staggering increase in elderly needing full time nursing care.
http://www.efmoody.com/longterm/nursingstatistics.html
The population of older adults will grow dramatically over the next 50 years, especially the "oldest old" (those 85 and older).
• The large numbers of children born between 1946 and 1964 (the "baby boom" generation) will reach their 65th birthdays between 2011 and 2029. Between 2000 and 2020, the U.S. population will add 19 million older adults. Overall, the numbers of older adults in this country will grow 138% in the next fifty years. By the year 2050, one of every five Americans will be age 65 or older.
http://www.albany.edu/news/pdf_files/impact_of_aging_full.pdf
Given the inablity of the politicians to agree on healthcare for the young, I believe it is highly unlikely they will be able to prepare for this problem in time. Medicare provides for rehab services; NOT for board and care. That is on the patient or his family until all their assets have been consumed. Then, the state agencys kick in. But, the cost is not going to remain stable nor is the availablity of funds. I submit that this will give birth to a new plan for the elderly: assisted suicide or even genocide (remember Soylent Green?). It's not pretty. But, unfortunately with the pitiful track record for healthcare reform in this country, I can see a trend in this direction. Does anyone else see this coming?
Check again the priorities for the Y generation given us by Maricel. How caring for the
old and disabled do you believe they will be? Caring enough to pay up to keep some helpless old person alive?
Tags: aging, alzheimers, facilities, healthcare, nursing, skilled
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